Posted September 03, 2011
I'm sitting at 26 giveaways entered. I don't consider it unlucky at all, though, just as I don't consider any of the stats you guys have posted are "unlucky". Why?
Statistically, in order to have a near-sure (95%) chance of having won at least one raffle with 200 contestants (most in steamgifts have way more), you'd need to enter over 500 raffles. And even then, there'd still be a 5% chance you wouldn't have won yet, plus, since most have over 200 contestants, the statistic can easily be extrapolated to 700 or even 1000 raffles.
That's the chance you're fighting against each time you enter one, so don't ever get your hopes up when you do.
Statistically, in order to have a near-sure (95%) chance of having won at least one raffle with 200 contestants (most in steamgifts have way more), you'd need to enter over 500 raffles. And even then, there'd still be a 5% chance you wouldn't have won yet, plus, since most have over 200 contestants, the statistic can easily be extrapolated to 700 or even 1000 raffles.
That's the chance you're fighting against each time you enter one, so don't ever get your hopes up when you do.